Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction 5/23/25 MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will trot out Clayton Kershaw for the start here, and Kershaw is 0-0 with an 11.25 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Kershaw is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA and 29 strikeouts. The New York Mets will start Griffin Canning here, and Canning is 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. In his career, Canning is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 16 strikeouts against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to build on their 3-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out to improve to 31-19 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for an interleague series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Dodgers Win Back-To-Back Games To Claim Series Win

Shohei Ohtani has 59 hits, including 9 doubles, 17 home runs, 31 RBIs, and 4 triples, while Tommy Edman has 30 hits with 8 home runs and 26 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 24 hits with 9 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 42 hits with 10 home runs, 10 doubles, and 38 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 8 doubles but also has 47 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 8 home runs and 30 RBIs on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a win.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Tommy Edman has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites against the Mets.
• Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Clayton Kershaw has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 16 appearances against the Mets.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games as road favorites.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Clayton Kershaw has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Esteury Ruiz has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build off their 5-1 win over the Boston Red Sox last time out to improve to 30-20 on the year. After this series, the Mets will take on the Chicago White Sox at home for an interleague series.

Mets Snap Three-Game Losing Streak

Pete Alonso has 54 hits with 16 doubles, 9 home runs, 37 RBIs, and a .292 batting average, while Juan Soto has 43 hits with 9 doubles, 8 home runs, and 21 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 56 hits with 9 stolen bases along with 9 doubles, 10 home runs, and 29 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 5 home runs, 18 RBIs, but 37 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 38 hits with 9 doubles and 8 home runs, and 27 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Dodgers have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Mets’ last five games.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last five games as home underdogs.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 Friday games.
• Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Griffin Canning ranks T8th in the league for Wins (5) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last seven games as favorites against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Thirteen of the Mets’ last 14 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. I just don’t think this hot start is going to be sustainable long term for Griffin Canning, as I think he’s bound to get hit, and historically, the Mets have had almost no success during Clayton Kershaw’s career, as he’s pretty much owned New York. The Dodgers got back on track, and I’m not going to blindly forget how bad the Mets looked for the better part of the last week and a half. Give me the Dodgers in this one.