Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5/4/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Boston

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Twins and Red Sox.

Twins Finally Picked Up Another Win

The Twins have had an awful season so far, but they were able to pick up a victory on Saturday. Even on Saturday, though, they almost blew the game, and it looked like the bullpen might hurt them. The Twins scored four runs, and they ended up winning by a victory. It was quite a cool comment when Kody Clemens hit a two-run home run, and they ended up with the winning plays. Bailey Ober was on the mound and he went six innings giving up seven hits and one run. 

The Twins are averaging 3.79 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.76 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league while the pitching is ranked 8th. Byron Buxton has hit six home runs and driven in 17 RBIs. Royce Lewis is expected to return sometime this upcoming week, but he’s still out for this game. Getting the start for the Twins will be Chris Paddack, who sits with a 0-3 record and an ERA of 5.60. The Twins have lost all six of his starts. Over his last four starts, he has given up only five earned runs total, but he hasn’t gotten the run support, and that has led to the issues. 

Why the Twins Will Beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won three of the Red Sox's last four games.
• The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a home loss.

Red Sox Fell Just Short

The Red Sox fell just short. Even though they had 12 hits, they only scored three runs, and getting hits in scoring position just didn’t happen. Rafael Devers had a strong game, finishing with three hits and two RBIs. In the first game, the Red Sox were able to secure the 6-1 victory, and they need to get the offense back to that success. 

The Red Sox are averaging 5.0 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.49 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th while the pitching is ranked 19th. Alex Bregman has been a big-time addition and has hit eight home runs and driven in 27 RBIs. Garrett Crochet is getting the start for the Red Sox, and he sits with a 3-2 record and an ERA of 2.05. Against the Toronto Blue Jays in his last start, he went seven innings, giving up four hits and two runs. 

Why the Red Sox Will Beat the Twins

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 games against the Twins at Fenway Park following a home loss.
• The Twins have lost each of their last nine Sunday day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Twins at Fenway Park following a home loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday road games.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

This game is going to be lower scoring. The ERA looks high, and the record doesn’t look good for Chris Paddack, but he has actually pitched well the last couple of games, and he’s going to follow that up with some success here. For Crochett, he has also been really good heading into this game, and the Twins offense still can’t be trusted. Both teams' bats are going to be ice cold here. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last four road games. The under is 6-0 in Crochet’s last six starts on grass. Back the under.