Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 20-10 on the year and play the Braves, Diamondbacks, and Athletics next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .251 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .450 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Teoscar Hernandez leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 33 hits and 31 RBI, while Shohei Ohtani and Tommy Edman have combined for 60 hits and 34 RBI.

Tony Gonsolin gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he was 8-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 82 strikeouts in the 2023 season. Gonsolin is 0-1 with a 10.38 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Marlins.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Marlins at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in each of their last four games at Dodger Stadium against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers' last four games as home favorites.
• Tony Gonsolin has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances at Dodger Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Dodgers' last eight games against NL East opponents at Dodger Stadium.
• Andy Pages has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers' last seven games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Tony Gonsolin has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in 15 of the Dodgers' last 16 games at Dodger Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Teoscar Hernandez ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.613) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins' last five games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins' last six games against the Dodgers.
• Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 road appearances.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last eight games against NL West opponents.

Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

The Marlins are 1-4 on this west coast red trip, and Quantrill isn’t providing much hope, given that he’s allowed 32 hits and 20 runs in 23 innings. Gonsolin hasn’t pitched since 2023 as he had Tommy John surgery and then started this season with a back issue. I don’t expect much from Gonsolin or for him to pitch long given the massive layoff. Still, the Dodgers are the more trustworthy team overall and have the offense to pick up the pieces if the pitching goes south. I’ll roll with the Dodgers and take the RL to shave down the juice.