Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 4/28/25 MLB Picks

The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Edward Cabrera, who is 0-1 in three starts this season, with a 6.14 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 14.2 innings.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers (18-10, 12-3 Home) bounced back from a three-game losing skid with a pair of victories over the Pittsburgh Pirates at home. The Dodgers did lose Game 1 of that series without scoring a run along the way, but managed to win 8-4 and 9-2 to clinch the series. Andy Pages led the team with four RBI, while Tyler Glasnow pitched for one inning in a no-decision, allowing two runs on two hits with no strikeouts and one walk. He injured his shoulder and could spend time on IL. Ben Casparius was credited with the win.

This year, the Dodgers average 4.75 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .239/.317/.437 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 3.79 ERA (13th) and 1.29 WHIP (16th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .277 batting average, eight home runs, and 25 RBI this season.

Dustin May will take the mound for the Dodgers on Monday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in four starts this year with a 3.68 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 22.0 innings.

Why the Dodgers will cover

• The Marlins have lost each of their last 17 Monday night road games.
• The Dodgers have won each of their last six games at Dodger Stadium against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Marlins and Dodgers at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Marlins at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins' last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the last nine games between the Marlins and Dodgers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five night games at Dodger Stadium.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last five games as favorites against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.437).
• The Dodgers rank T27th in the league for steals this season (13).
• The Marlins rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.32).
• The Marlins rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.256).

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last seven. Cabrera still didn't register a quality start this year, and I think he will fail to get one on Monday. Cabrera allowed a .234 BA in 47 at-bats against the Dodgers in his career, and I am backing the hosts to score four or five runs off him in the opening five innings here. After not allowing more than a run in a game, Dustin May was dismantled by the Cubs in his latest start. I am backing him to respond well and get a quality start against the Marlins. Miami has one of the weakest defenses in the MLB, so I am going with the Dodgers to win and cover the run line.