Arizona Diamondbacks (14-13) vs Atlanta Braves (12-14)
Game Info: Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 4:10 pm (Chase Field)
S. Schwellenbach (R) vs B. Pfaadt (R)
Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -105 / Atlanta Braves -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: MLB.TV
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 27, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (12-14, 4-11 Away) are experiencing their best period of the season after winning seven of the previous eight games. Atlanta swept the Twins, beat the Cardinals in two of three games, and then opened this road series against Arizona with a pair of victories. In the latest 8-7 extra-inning win, Michael Harris II and Eli White led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Grant Holmes pitched for 5.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing six runs on five hits with four strikeouts and three walks. Raisel Iglesias was credited with the win.
This season, the Braves average 4.00 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .238/.315/.396 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 4.29 ERA (22nd) and 1.34 WHIP (20th). Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .290 batting average, six home runs, and 18 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 1-1 in five starts this season, with a 2.56 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 31.2 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (14-13, 7-8 Home) swept the Marlins and lost the road series to the Cubs before losing to the Rays at home, and now are on a four-game losing skid after losing the opening two games of the series with the Braves. Arizona had a 6-2 lead in Game 2 following the first six innings, but were left empty-handed in extra innings, losing 8-7. Eugenio Suarez blasted four home runs to lead the offense, his most home runs in a game in his career. Merrill Kelly pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Justin Martinez took the loss.
This year, the Diamondbacks average 5.27 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .245/.336/.434 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.35 ERA (24th) and 1.24 WHIP (13th). Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .302 batting average, nine home runs, and 23 RBI this season.
Brandon Pfaadt will take the mound for the Diamondbacks on Sunday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 4-1 record in five starts this year with a 2.73 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 29.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Diamondbacks' last five home games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Braves' last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Braves and Diamondbacks.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 16 of the Braves' last 20 road games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (119).
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.439).
- The Braves rank 24th in the league for strikeouts this season (212).
- The Braves rank T24th in the league for home runs allowed this season (34).
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Braves won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters. This pitching matchup makes me take the Under, as I have been impressed with both Schwellenbach and Pfaadt this year. Schwellenbach bounced back from his weak start against the Blue Jays, while Pfaadt allowed just two runs in his last three starts. Pfaadt posted a 3.86 ERA in 11.2 innings in two starts against the Braves last year, while he allowed a .263 BA in 38 at-bats against Atlanta in his career. I am going with Under.
Oliver’s Pick Under 8.5
AUTHOR: Oliver Zivic
