Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 4/26/25 MLB Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the Blue Jays and Yankees

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Blue Jays vs Yankees game

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Jays opened up their 2025 campaign on a tie in four games versus the rival Baltimore Orioles, then followed with a sweep over the Washington Nationals, and then a sweep by the New York Mets. The Blue Jays then bagged three straight wins of their own over the Boston Red Sox, but then lost the finale. Following a two-game split versus the Orioles, Toronto took out the Braves in a series, then lost a series against the Mariners. Toronto lost 7-0 and 5-1 to the Astros this week, then in Wednesday’s finale, the Jays gave up three runs in the second inning (and 13 team hits) in a 3-1 loss.

On Friday versus New York, Toronto scored three in the top of the ninth for a comeback win, 4-2. Starter Jose Berrios had 5.1 innings with five hits, two walks, and no earned runs.

It’ll be Kevin Gausman in the starter slot for the Jays on Saturday. So far this year, Gausman is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA in five starts over 31.1 innings. Gausman is 104-104 with a 3.83 ERA in 334 career games (295 starts). 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the New York side, they beat the Milwaukee Brewers in a sweep during their first set, then fell in a set against the Arizona Diamondbacks ahead of wins in two of three versus the Pittsburgh Pirates. New York would fall in their next pair of series against the Detroit Tigers and San Francisco Giants, then sweep the Royals. The Yankees bagged wins in three of four versus the rival Rays last weekend, then lost their first two games versus the Guardians this week, 6-4 and 3-2. In the Wednesday finale, the Yankees were able to stave off the sweep with a 5-1 victory. Starter Carlos Rodon put up 7.0 innings of clean ball with four hits and two walks. 

On Friday, New York out-hit the Jays 10-9 but couldn’t get it done on the scoreboard. Starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco had 5.0 clean frames, three hits, and two walks. 

Starter for the Yankees on Saturday will be Max Fried. This year, Fried is 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA in five starts across 31.2 innings. Fried is 77-36 with a 3.02 ERA in 173 games (156 starts) over his MLB career. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five day games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last three Saturday day games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Sixteen of the Blue Jays' last 18 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Yankees' last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five day games.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last four day games against American League opponents.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

I’ve got to stay with the Yankees here. New York’s fortunes get a boost with Fried on the mound. In his last three starts, he’s a smooth 3-0 with just two earned runs on 12 hits and four walks combined over 21.1 innings total. As for Gausman, he’s coming off four earned runs on six hits and three walks in 6.0 innings during a loss to the Astros on April 21. That said, Gausman’s prior two starts were good. He managed just two combined earned runs on 10 hits and no walks over 14.0 innings in that pair. 

New York had a pretty quiet evening at the plate Friday, despite everyone but Paul Goldschmidt and Trent Grisham (each 0-for-5) bagging at least one hit. The bullpen breakdown didn’t help either. The Yankees need a much sharper effort in game two.