Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4/19/25 MLB Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Tigers game

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

Kansas City opened up their year with a series loss in three games versus the Cleveland Guardians, then took another loss in a set versus the Milwaukee Brewers. The Royals finally won a series versus the Baltimore Orioles, taking two of three, then won three of four versus the Minnesota Twins. After losses in two of three in their rematch versus the Guardians, KC got swept by the Yankees. In Thursday’s opener versus the Tigers, the Royals were out-hit 12-7 in a 6-1 loss. Maikel Garcia had the team’s lone RBI, and starting pitcher Michael Lorenzen had 4.2 innings with four earned runs. 

On Friday in game two the Royals scored twice in the top of the ninth inning but it wasn’t enough to make the comeback in a 7-3 los. Vinnie Pasquantino finished with two RBI, two hits and a run. Bobby Witt added two hits and two runs, while starting pitcher Cole Ragans had 4.0 innings with five earned on six hits and three walks. 

As starter for Saturday’s matchup, the Royals will send out Seth Lugo. This year Lugo is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA in four starts over 23.1 innings. Lugo is 57-42 with a 3.39 ERA in 338 career games (101 starts) at the MLB level. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they got swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers in their opening series, then won two of three versus the Seattle Mariners ahead of a sweep over the White Sox. Detroit won two of three versus the New York Yankees then repeated that feat versus the Minnesota Twins. Early in the week Detroit lost two of three to the Brewers. On Thursday the Tigers notched three runs in the third inning during the victory. Spencer Torkelson had two hits, a run and three RBI. Reese Olson had 5.0 clean frames with four hits and two walks as starter. 

In the Friday matchup Detroit scored there times in the fifth inning on the way to the victory. Andy Ibanez had a solo homer, while Tomas Nido had three hits with an RBI. Starting pitcher Jackson Jobe had 5.0 innings with one earned run. 

Casey Mize will step into the starter slot for the Tigers on Saturday. This year Mize is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in three starts over 17.1 innings. Mize is 11-20 with a 4.26 ERA in 64 games (62 starts) overall in his career.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games at Comerica Park.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Royals.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Tigers following a road loss.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won each of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have lost three of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 21 games as home favorites against the Royals following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals' last four games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers' last six day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last seven Saturday games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in six of the Tigers' last seven home games against AL Central opponents.

Royals vs Tigers Prediction 

I’ll go with the Tigers, but Mize could use a good start here. In his last outing Mize took a loss to the Twins with 5.2 innings and four earned runs on April 13. Prior to that however, Mize had just one earned over 11.2 innings in a pair of starts, winning both. As for Lugo, he’s got losses in each of his last two starts, notching a total of six earned in 12.1 innings combined. Lugo gave up four earned on seven hits and two walks in 6.2 innings versus the Yankees during his last outing. 

Detroit posted a pretty nice all-around victory on Friday, but also gave up 10 hits on the other side. The Tigers had plenty of offense to go around however, so if they can keep it up Saturday the team will be in great shape.