Royals vs Yankees Prediction 4/14/25 MLB Picks

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 8-7 this season after they lost two out of three games against the Giants by scores of 1-9, 8-4, and 4-5. In that game three loss, the Yankees led 3-0 in the second inning, but they allowed the next five runs and couldn’t complete the comeback in the loss. New York recorded six hits in the game and committed one error, while they were led by Rice, Goldschmidt, Chisholm Jr., and Escarra, who all had one RBI in the loss. The Yankees started Rodon, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Leiter Jr., Hamilton, and Hill threw 3.1 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees had lost two out of three games against the Tigers and won two out of three against the Pirates. The New York pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .206 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 95 runs with a .259 batting average and a .344 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with six home runs and 20 RBIs, while Anthony Volpe has added four home runs and 13 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Carrasco, who is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Royals 

• The Yankees have won each of their last 15 games against the Royals at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Royals have lost each of their last eight night games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six home games following a home loss.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.

Why the Royals will beat the Yankees 

• The Yankees have lost three of their last four Monday games as favorites.
• The Royals have won three of their last four Monday games as underdogs.
• The Royals have covered the run line each of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Yankees' last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals' last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 12 of the Yankees' last 13 home games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Royals' last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Carlos Carrasco has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• DJ LeMahieu has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against the Royals.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jonathan India has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Royals' last six games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Royals' last 12 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in two of the Royals' last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his 16 previous appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (91).
• The Yankees rank T2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (157).
• The Royals rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.14).
• The Royals rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (52).

Royals vs Yankees Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series hovering right around the .500 mark on the season, which has been a disappointment for this Yankees team. New York has lost two series in a row, and they are starting Carrasco, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 16 hits over 11.2 innings pitched this year. Kansas City was able to avoid the sweep on Sunday, but their offense has been low-scoring so far this year. I do think this is a good spot for the KC offense to wake up, and I think we are going to see a higher scoring game, so take the over here.