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New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks

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Detroit Tigers (7-4) vs New York Yankees (6-5)

April 9, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +124 / New York Yankees -148 — Over/Under: 7

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 9, at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (6-5, 2-3 Away) are going through a three-game losing skid and are facing being swept by the Detroit Tigers in a three-game series. So far, in the season, the Yankees swept the Brewers, lost to the Diamondbacks, and beat the Pirates. In last night’s 5-0 loss to the Tigers on the road, Carlos Carrasco took a loss after allowing four runs on six hits with three strikeouts and a walk in 4.1 innings.

This season, the Yankees average 7.80 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .278/.357/.556 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 4.48 ERA (21st) and 1.24 WHIP (12th). Aaron Judge leads the Yanks with a .341 batting average, six home runs, and 18 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Max Fried, who has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 2.61 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 10.1 innings.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers (7-4, 5-0 Home) suffered a three-game series sweep by the Dodgers to open the season, but since then, they have won seven out of eight games. The Tigers beat the Mariners, swept the White Sox, and won the series’ first two games over the Yankees. Zach McKinstry, Kerry Carpenter, and Dillon Dingler hit a home run apiece to lead the offense, while Tarik Skubal got a win after keeping the Yankees off the scoreboard for 6.0 innings, allowing four hits with six strikeouts and no walks.

This year, the Tigers average 5.10 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .262/.352/.438 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Tigers’ staff has a 3.92 ERA (13th) and 1.08 WHIP (5th). Kerry Carpenter leads the Tigers with a .222 batting average, four home runs, and nine RBI this season.

Jack Flaherty will take the mound for the Tigers on Wednesday. The 29-year-old righty has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 2.38 ERA and 0.88 WHIP over 11.1 innings of work.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Tigers’ last nine day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Yankees’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Tigers’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six day games against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.200).
  • The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (69).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (25).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (74).

Yankees vs Tigers Prediction

The teams have traded victories over the past few years, as each recorded five in the last ten H2H duels. The Tigers were better in the previous four, though, including two in this series. Another low-scoring affair is on the cards. Max Fried allowed a .207 BA in 29 at-bats against the Tigers, while Jack Flaherty had a .255 BA in 51 at-bats against the Yankees. Fried faced Detroit last year and posted a 1.69 ERA in 5.1 innings. Detroit is .217 BA against southpaws this season. Seven of the previous ten H2Hs failed to produce more than seven runs, and I don’t think we will have more than that on Wednesday. Go with Under.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 7.5

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