Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 6-5 this season after they won games one and two in this series by scores of 4-2 and 2-1. In that game two win, Kansas City led 1-0 in the fourth inning but needed a lucky break in the eighth to break the tie and get the win. The Royals recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Perez, who had one walk and one RBI in the win. Kansas City started Ragans, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Zerpa, Schreiber, and Lynch combined for three scoreless innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three games against the Orioles and lost two out of three against the Brewers. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.05 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 42 runs with a .232 batting average and a .300 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with one home run and 10 RBIs, while Maikel Garcia has added two home runs and six RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Royals will beat the Twins 

• The Royals have won each of their last 14 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost each of their last eight night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium following a road loss.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Wednesday night games as home favorites.

Why the Twins will beat the Royals 

• The Royals have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals' last six games as favorites against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Twins' last nine games as underdogs against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 15 of the Royals' last 18 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Twins' last six games against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in 13 of his last 14 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Massey has recorded a Single in seven of the Royals' last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in 17 of the Royals' last 19 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in four of his last nine appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Royals' last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Massey has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Wednesday appearances.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ty France has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
• Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins' last four road games against AL Central opponents.
• Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
• Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
• Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Ty France has scored at least one run in each of the Twins' last four games against AL Central opponents.
• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of his last three Wednesday appearances.

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this matchup looking to win their fourth game in a row, and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Royals didn’t have a good night at the plate on Tuesday, but they still picked up the win with great pitching. Minnesota is just 3-8 to start this season, and they are batting just .201, and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games. This is a pretty solid pitching matchup, and with Minnesota struggling to score, I like the under here.