Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4/3/25 MLB Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 2-4 this season after they won two out of three games against the Royals in their last series. Milwaukee lost game one by a score of 11-1, but they won games two and three by scores of 5-0 and 3-2. In game three, the Brewers scored a run in the first inning but couldn’t find any more runs until extra innings, where they won in the 11th. Milwaukee was led by Chourio, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. The Brewers started Peralta, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings pitched. 

Prior to that series win, the Brewers were swept by the Yankees by scores of 2-4, 9-20, and 3-12. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 7.81 ERA with a 1.55 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 23 runs with a .223 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Jackson Chourio and Brice Turang have led Milwaukee with one home run and four RBIs each this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Nestor Cortes, who is 0-1 with a 36.00 ERA and a 5.50 WHIP over 2.0 innings pitched this season. The Brewers will face the Rockies following this series.

Why the Reds will beat the Brewers

• The Reds have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Reds following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds' last seven road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the last 10 games between the Reds and Brewers at American Family Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Brewers' last six games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in two of the Brewers' last three games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Reds.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers' last four games at American Family Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight Thursday appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded an RBI in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Will Benson has hit a home run in two of the Reds' last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in each of the Reds' last three night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series with a 2-4 record through six games, but the Brewers will have the home-field advantage. Milwaukee was roughed up against the Yankees in their first series, but they bounced back nicely against the Royals earlier this week. Cincinnati has lost three of their last four games, and they have been shut out in back to back games. The Reds may not be hitting the ball very well right now, but their pitching staff has been fantastic. We saw Cortes get shelled in his first start, and I have to fade him until I see some quality pitching. Take the Reds here.