New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 3/31/25 MLB Picks

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 3-1 on the year and play the Braves, Mets, and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .368 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins' pitching staff has a 2.31 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Dane Myers leads the Miami Marlins with 5 hits and 2 RBI, while Derek Hill and Otto Lopez have combined for 10 hits and 5 RBI.

Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he was 8-11 with a 4.98 ERA and 110 strikeouts last season. Quantrill is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as underdogs.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Marlins following a road loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Marlins.

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Mets' offense is going to come along sooner than later, and we’re going to learn more about the Marlins in this series. While the Marlins deserve credit for winning three of their first four games, the Pirates are a bottom-five team in baseball. The line is accurate, given the gap in talent and expectations. With all of that said, the Mets aren’t hitting the ball well right now, and Quantrill has shown he can be an above-average pitcher. His last two seasons with the Guardians and Rockies weren’t good, but from 2020 to 2022, he looked like a potential all-star.

The Marlins also have three walk-off wins, and when stuff like that happens, it builds the belief of the locker room and can loosen guys up as well. The magic will wear off eventually, but I’ll keep taking a shot at these plus-money prices until it does. Give me the Marlins.