San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 9/27/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (88-71) vs San Diego Padres (91-67)

Game Info: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Merrill Kelly (5-0) (3.71) vs Martin Perez (5-5) (4.18)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -118 / San Diego Padres +100 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Chase Field. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 91-68 on the year after playing the White Sox and Dodgers. The San Diego Padres have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The San Diego Padres have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 162 hits and 104 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar have combined for 306 hits and 174 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 88-71 on the year after playing the Brewers and Giants. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 145 hits and 93 RBI, while Eugenio Suarez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 280 hits and 171 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Pick Matchup

Yu Darvish gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Darvish has allowed 17 hits and 7 runs in his last 20 innings. Darvish has a 2.05 ERA and .203 allowed batting average in 22 road innings. Darvish is 8-4 with a 3.55 ERA and 131 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 5-0 with a 3.71 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Kelly has allowed 14 hits and 6 runs in his last 22 innings. Kelly has a 3.55 ERA and a .228 allowed batting average in 33 home innings. Kelly is 9-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 78 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a home win.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Padres.
  • Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Merrill Kelly has recorded four or more strikeouts in 23 of his last 24 appearances with the Diamondbacks as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last 11 home games against NL West opponents.
  • Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Diamondbacks as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Randal Grichuk has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Joc Pederson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Friday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Ketel Marte ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one Double in each of the Padres' last three games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded an RBI in each of the Padres' last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Martin Perez has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres' last seven road games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last seven games at Chase Field.
  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of the Padres' last two games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.381) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1428).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1050).
  • The San Diego Padres are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Both the Padres and Diamondbacks are fighting for playoff positioning, and this game is obviously more important for Arizona, who have yet to clinch. A pitching matchup of Yu Darvish and Merrill Kelly is fantastic and creates arguments for both sides. The difference is we're getting Darvish at a more favorable price. Darvish has won 3 of his last 4 games as an underdog and is just too consistent to turn down at these prices. Give me the Padres.

Randy’s Pick San Diego Padres +100

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss