Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 9/27/24

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Washington Nationals (69-90) vs Philadelphia Phillies (94-65)

Game Info: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 6:45 pm (Nationals Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +172 / Philadelphia Phillies -204 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 27th, at Nationals Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Phillies’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Nationals’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington

-Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Washington

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Phillies and Nationals. 

Can Phillies Score Enough?

The Phillies scored nine runs on Wednesday against the Cubs and that was enough for the victory. Bryston Stott finished with three hits, two runs, and two RBIs. The Phillies are averaging 4.87 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.14 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the pitching is ranked 9th. They have a run differential of 0.76 which is 4th in the league. Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs and driven in 102 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez who sits with a 12-7 record and an ERA of 3.15. In his last start against the Mets, he went five innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Nationals Pitching Again an Issue

The Nationals pitching again was an issue and on Thursday they gave up seven runs to the Kansas City Royals. The Nationals are averaging 4.04 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.73 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league while the pitching is ranked 24th. CJ Abrams has hit 20 home runs and driven in 65 RBIs. Getting the start for the Nationals will be Trevor Williams who sits with a 5-1 record and an ERA of 2.39. In his last start against the Chicago Cubs, he went five innings giving up three hits and one run. 

Why the Nationals Will Beat the Phillies

  • The Nationals have won nine of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a home loss.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction

The Nationals are going to find the job done here. Williams gave up only one run in his last start and he’s been good. He sits with an ERA of 2.39 and he’s going to dominate here. The Phillies bats are going to be ice-cold here. Ranger Suarez sits with an ERA of 3.15 but he’s not going to be good enough here. It might not be a popular play, but the Nationals will get the job done. Back the Nationals. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Nationals ML

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