Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 9/22/24

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 77-78 this season and they have won three games in a row. Tampa Bay has won the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 3-2. Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Red Sox, split four games with the Guardians, and lost all three against the Phillies. Tampa Bay is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Rays' offense has scored 585 runs with a .231 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .283 with 14 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 10-13 with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 166.2 innings pitched this year. Bassitt has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 3-3 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 67.1 innings pitched this year. Baz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. 

Why the Rays will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games at Tropicana Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have won seven of their last eight-day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Tropicana Field against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in four of their last five-day games at Tropicana Field following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Rays' last 12 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays' last five games against AL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last eight home games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last four games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in 11 of his last 12 appearances.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents at Tropicana Field.
• Jose Siri has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances in day games.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays' last five Sunday day games at Tropicana Field.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in four of his last nine appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last 20 road games against AL East opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays' last six road games against AL East opponents.
• Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Rays.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays' last 20 road games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this game looking for their fourth straight win and they have had some very solid pitching over the last few series. Tampa Bay is 41-39 at home this year, while Toronto is 35-45 on the road. The Rays continue to be one of the lowest-scoring teams in the MLB, but their pitching staff is carrying them. Tampa Bay is starting Shane Baz, who has been fantastic recently, and I like them to pick up another win here.