Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 9/21/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles

Recent betting trends in games played between the Tigers and Orioles

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tigers vs Orioles game

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers played the Kansas City Royals in their last set and took a sweep with three straight victories. On Friday versus the O’s, the Tigers managed seven hits in a 7-1 loss. Starter Tyler Holton finished with 1.0 innings and two earned runs.

As a starter for Saturday, the Tigers will go with Reese Olson. This year Olson is 4-8 with a 3.50 ERA in 20 starts. Olson is 9-15 with a 3.75 ERA in 41 career games (38 starts).

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they played the San Francisco Giants this week. Baltimore lost the first pair before a 5-3 finale win. On Friday the O’s were up 5-0 by the end of the fourth inning and cruised from there.

It’ll be Cade Povich at the start for Baltimore on Saturday. So far Povich is 2-9 with a 5.74 ERA in the first 14 starts of his career. The Orioles will meet the Yankees after this series.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight-day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight-day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Tigers' last 10 road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles' last four home games against AL Central opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last five-day games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four home games against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Orioles. Probably not touching it, though. Povich has taken losses in his last pair of starts with six earned runs in a combined 9.2 innings. As for Olson, he’s given up seven earned over 10.1 innings in his last three starts combined.

On Friday the O’s got a nice start from Corbin Burnes (7.0 innings; three hits; three walks; no earned) and got five home runs at the plate. I don’t expect so many fireworks Saturday but Baltimore should still be in a good spot.