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Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 9/18/24
Pick details
Milwaukee Brewers (87-63) vs Philadelphia Phillies (90-60)
September 18, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -109 / Philadelphia Phillies -109 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 91-60 on the year and play the Mets and Cubs next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have split their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 149 hits and 84 RBI, while Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos have combined for 287 hits and 170 RBI.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 87-64 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Pirates next. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won and split their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 159 hits and 90 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 278 hits and 163 RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 19 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 15 innings. Nola has a 4.00 ERA and .276 allowed batting average in 83.1 road innings. Nola is 7-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 86 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 11-8 with a 3.75 ERA and 184 strikeouts this season. Peralta has allowed 19 hits and 7 runs in his last 15 innings. Peralta has a 4.13 ERA and .237 allowed batting average in 89.1 home innings. Peralta is 0-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in 21 of his last 26 appearances in night games.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Phillies.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Phillies.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven games as home favorites against the Phillies.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in five of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Phillies’ last seven road games against the Brewers.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last seven road games against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in six of his last seven road appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 road games.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- Trea Turner ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.299) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (733).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.328).
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (270).
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank T4th in the league for RBI’s this season (700).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
A pitching matchup of Aaron Nola and Freddy Peralta is fun on paper, but both pitchers are coming off shaky starts. These are two capable offenses in the Phillies and Brewers, so it’s not a spot where it’s going to be easy to find their footing. The total is reasonably low, and I expect to see some runs. I’ll take the over in the last game of this series.