Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 9/16/24

San Diego Padres (84-65) vs Houston Astros (80-68)

Game Info: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Yu Darvish (5-3) (3.52) vs Spencer Arrighetti (7-12) (5.13)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -140 / Houston Astros +129 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros and the San Diego Padres square off Monday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Spencer Arrighetti for the start here and Arrighetti is 7-12 with a 4.72 ERA and 158 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s first career start against the Padres. The San Diego Padres will send out Yu Darvish for the start here and Darvish is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Houston, Darvish is 1-2 with a 4.18 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this one looking to build some momentum after sweeping the Los Angeles Angels thanks to a 6-4 win in Sunday’s series finale. The sweep of the Halos helped Houston bounce back from a series loss to the Oakland A’s from earlier in the week.

Astros Inching Closer To AL West Title

Entering Sunday, Jose Altuve has 177 hits and a .303 batting average with 19 home runs, 63 RBIs, and 28 doubles while Yordan Alvarez also has 34 homers with 84 RBIs and 31 doubles. Altuve has the Astros’ team lead with 21 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 151 hits and a .270 batting average as well as 17 stolen bases of his own this season. Alex Bregman’s added 23 homers and 67 RBIs and 28 doubles also.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Padres' last four games at Petco Park.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine Monday games as road underdogs.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to build some steam of their own after sweeping the San Francisco Giants over the weekend following a 4-3 win in Sunday’s series finale. The sweep of the Giants helped the Padres add on to their series split with the Mariners from earlier in the week.

Padres Taking Steps Towards NL Wild Card Spot

Going into Sunday, Jurickson Profar has 146 hits along with a .281 batting average and 26 doubles with 22 homers and 82 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 78 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 17 home runs and 98 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 151 hits, 26 home runs, and 97 RBIs but also has 110 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 23 home runs, 85 RBIs, and 27 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six home games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last five night games against the Padres following a win.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Astros' last four games.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Padres following a win.

Astros vs. Padres Prediction

I’m on the Padres here. I just think that these are two evenly matched teams, but the edge In starting pitching for me has to go towards San Diego. Spencer Arrighetti has been so hard to trust this season and I’m not up for trusting him against a tough Padres lineup. Darvish has started to look more and more comfortable in a pair of starts back at the major league level, and I think the Padres draw first blood here. Give me San Diego.

Chris’s Pick San Diego -140

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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