New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 9/15/24

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 89-59 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Philadelphia dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 6-4 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Rays, split four games with the Marlins, and won both games against the Blue Jays. Philadelphia is 10-3 in their last 13 games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 723 runs with a .258 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .290 with 28 home runs and 82 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 9-2 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 102.2 innings pitched this year. Peterson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 10-9 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 165.0 innings pitched this season. Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Mets

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have lost each of their last six Sunday day games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Mets will beat the Phillies

• The Mets have won each of their last nine games following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last five day games following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a home win.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 11 games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies' last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Mets' last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last five day games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last eight Sunday day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances against the Mets.
• Alec Bohm has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in two of the Mets' last three games as underdogs.
• Pete Alonso has scored a run in each of the Mets' last six games against NL opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets' last six games against NL opponents.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games.
• Starling Marte has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

These two teams have split the first two games in this series, but this game is way more important for the Mets than the Phillies. New York is 41-33 on the road, while Philadelphia is 51-26 at home. The Mets continue to battle for a wild card spot in the NL, but it is a very tight race with Atlanta, Arizona, and San Diego. Both of these starting pitchers have been great this season and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game, so give me the under in this matchup.