Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction MLB Picks 9/11/24

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 33-113 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Chicago has dropped the first two games in this series and they were shut out on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost two out of three against the Orioles, and lost all three against the Mets. Chicago is 2-16 in their last 18 games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 447 runs with a .221 batting average and a .278 on-base percentage. Andrew Vaughn is batting .246 with 17 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Matthew Boyd, who is 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. Boyd has allowed one earned run in each of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Davis Martin, who is 0-3 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this year. Martin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Guardians will beat the White Sox

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 16 games against AL Central opponents.
• The favorites have won 24 of the White Sox's last 25 games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the White Sox's last eight games as home underdogs has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Guardians' last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last five Wednesday games.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five Wednesday games at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of the White Sox's last nine games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one RBI in four of the White Sox's last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded a Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Guardians.
• Nicky Lopez has scored a run in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Lane Thomas has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the White Sox after playing the previous day.
• Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in five of the Guardians' last six games against the White Sox.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the White Sox.
• Josh Naylor has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians' last five games as road favorites against the White Sox.
• Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in 10 of the Guardians' last 11 games as favorites against the White Sox.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances against the White Sox.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against the White Sox.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 

The Guardians come into this matchup looking for the series sweep, as they attempt to give Chicago their 114th loss of the season. The White Sox are just 18-56 at home this season, while Cleveland is 40-37 on the road. Chicago is on pace to be the worst MLB team in history and they haven’t even been close to competitive this year. Davis Martin has pitched well for Chicago, but the bullpen is awful and I just can’t back this team right now. Take Cleveland to win by at least two runs.