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Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 9/11/24
Pick details
Washington Nationals (64-79) vs Atlanta Braves (78-66)
September 11, 2024 at 06:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +143 / Atlanta Braves -169 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Atlanta Braves and the Washington Nationals square off Wednesday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will start Max Fried here and Fried is 9-8 with a 3.35 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Washington, Fried is 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 25 strikeouts. The Washington Nationals will start Jake Irvin here and Irvin is 9-12 with a 4.28 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season. In his career, Irvin is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Atlanta.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will come into this one looking to build on their 12-0 rout of the Nationals in Tuesday’s series opener. The win gave the Braves a chance to keep their series win streak alive which includes the Blue Jays and Rockies over the last week.
Braves Trying To Cling To NL Wild Card Spot
Going into Tuesday, Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 165 hits including 37 home runs and 98 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 22 doubles and Ozzie Albies has 28 doubles, logging 93 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has a team-high 32 doubles, 25 home runs, and 79 RBIs with a team-high 155 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 26 doubles with a pair of triples, 19 home runs, and 56 RBIs.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals will try to rebound after a disappointing start to their series after getting roughed up in Tuesday’s opener. The loss put the Nationals at risk of losing their streak of series splits after splitting with the Marlins and Pirates over the last week.
Nationals Looking To Play Spoiler Vs. Rival
Entering Tuesday, CJ Abrams has 123 hits along with 19 home runs and 64 RBIs to go along with 26 doubles, 6 triples, and 28 stolen bases. Luis Garcia Jr. has a team-high 128 hits including 25 doubles with 63 RBIs and 21 stolen bases. Jacob Young has 31 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last seven night games following a home loss.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Nationals following a road win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a home loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Nationals following a win.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
I’m on the Braves here. The fact of the matter is that the Braves are the only team with anything to play for and I think you saw the sense of urgency in Tuesday’s win as the Braves got back on level ground with the Mets for the final wild-card spot in the National League. Irvin just hasn’t looked good for the Nats over the last month and I think Atlanta can get to him early and often here. Give me the Braves in this one.