Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 9/4/24

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 68-70 this season and they have lost two of their last three games. Tampa Bay dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 2-1. Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Mariners, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Tampa Bay is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Rays' offense has scored 533 runs with a .230 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .274 with 12 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Ronny Henriquez, who is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this year. Henriquez has allowed three earned runs in his last five appearances (5.2 IP), all of which came in relief. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Cole Sulser, who is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 8.1 innings pitched this season. Sulser has allowed zero earned runs and one hit over 3.2 innings of work since coming over from the Mets. 

Why the Twins will beat the Brewers

• The Twins have won each of their last five games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four games following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games at Tropicana Field following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Rays' last 13 games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Twins' last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Jose Siri has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last seven night games.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays' last seven night games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his seven previous home appearances against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in nine of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Santana has hit a home run in five of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Twins' last five road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

Minnesota dropped game two in this series on Tuesday night, but they continue to hold a Wild Card spot in the AL. The Twins are 36-33 on the road this year, while the Rays are 36-37 at home. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has been pretty strong this season, but their offense is one of the lowest-scoring in the MLB. It looks like both teams will be going with some version of a bullpen game here, but I have to give the edge to the better-hitting team. Take the Twins here.