Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction MLB Picks 8/28/24

Colorado Rockies (48-83) vs Miami Marlins (47-83)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 8:40 pm (Coors Field)

Kyle Freeland (3-6) (5.70) vs Max Meyer (3-3) (5.44)

Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies -135 / Miami Marlins +124 --- Over/Under: 11 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins and the Colorado Rockies square off Wednesday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will start Max Meyer here and Meyer is 3-3 with a 5.44 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Meyer’s first career start against the Rockies. Kyle Freeland will get the start for the Rockies and is 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. In his career, Freeland is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Miami.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this one looking to take a series lead after evening the set up at one win apiece thanks to a 9-8 win in Tuesday’s matchup. The win got the Fish back on track as they’re trying to snap a series losing streak which includes Ls against the Cubs and Diamondbacks over the last week and a half alone.

Marlins Counting Down The Days Until The End Of The Season

Going into Tuesday, Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 25 home runs and 57 RBIs along with 103 hits while Jesus Sanchez has 16 home runs and 52 RBIs with 19 doubles. Xavier Edwards also has a team-high 22 stolen bases while Burger has the dubious distinction of leading the Marlins with 120 strikeouts this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last nine Wednesday games against NL East opponents.
  • The underdogs have won six of the Marlins' last nine games at Coors Field.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Marlins' last nine games.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies will try to bounce back after letting one slip away in Tuesday’s high-scoring defeat at the hands of the Marlins. The loss was not ideal for a Rockies team that’s struggled for much of the year but would like to finish at .500 at home and is coming off of series losses to the Yankees and Nationals over the last week.

Rockies Trying To Push For Winning Home Record In 2024

Entering Tuesday’s action, Ezequiel Tovar leads the Rockies with 144 hits including a team-high 37 doubles, 19 home runs and 55 RBIs with 164 strikeouts as well this season while Ryan McMahon has 17 home runs and 58 RBIs along with 25 doubles and 149 strikeouts as well. Brenton Doyle’s added 22 doubles, 21 home runs, 63 RBIs and a team-high 25 stolen bases as well as 4 triples and Tovar has a team-best .271 batting average this season. Michael Toglia’s also chipped in 21 home runs as well this season.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents following a road win.
  • The Rockies have won each of their last six night games at Coors Field following a loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a road win.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games following a home loss.

Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think Meyer will have some issues in his first career start at Coors Field, and as much as I hate backing the Marlins against left-handed starting pitching, Kyle Freeland just hasn’t looked great in recent starts which is a bit surprising considering he’s a Colorado kid and historically has pitched well at home. I think both teams can put up some runs in this one and while the total feels high, I still think we go over the number. Give me the over here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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