New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 8/26/24

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 59-72 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Washington is coming off of a series loss against Atlanta, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Rockies, lost three out of four against the Phillies, and split two games with the Orioles. Washington is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 554 runs with a .245 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .249 with 18 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nestor Cortes, who is 7-10 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched this year. Cortes has allowed zero earned runs in his last two starts (14.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-7 with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but allowed nine earned runs two starts ago. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Yankees

• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Yankees and Nationals.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the Yankees will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 night games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Yankees' last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals' last four night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last three night games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals' last two home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Nationals' last five games against AL East opponents at Nationals Park.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances at Nationals Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last four games at Nationals Park.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded two hits in each of the Nationals' last three home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one Double in three of the Nationals' last four games at Nationals Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Joey Meneses has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees' last six games.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Yankees' last six games.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in 18 of his last 21 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Nationals Park.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.736) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
• The Washington Nationals rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (1169).
• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (544).
• The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (669).

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

New York comes into this game with a slim lead over the Orioles in the AL East and they have been great on the road, going 41-25 away from Yankee Stadium. Washington is just 30-33 at home this season, but they are starting Mitchell Parker, who has been very solid in most of his recent outings. New York is going with Nestor Cortes, who has had an up and down season, but he has been lights out in his last two starts. This is actually a decent pitching matchup and I think runs could be hard to come by, so I am taking the under here.