Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 8/24/24

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 61-67 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Pittsburgh has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-0 and 6-5. Prior to that series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Rangers, won two out of three against the Mariners, and lost all three against the Padres. Pittsburgh is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 531 runs with a .234 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .282 with 19 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Julian Aguiar, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year. Aguiar allowed two earned runs and four hits over 4.0 innings of work against Toronto in his first outing. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jake Woodford, who is 0-5 with a 6.67 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this season. Woodford has allowed six earned runs and 12 hits over 10 innings in his last two starts. 

Why the Reds will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a road loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Pirates' last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Reds' last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates' last six night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Joey Bart has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances at PNC Park.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Double in three of the Reds' last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds' last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 

Cincinnati was trying to stay in the NL Wild Card race, but they have struggled over the last week and they are quite a few games behind the Braves for the last spot. The Reds are 31-33 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 31-32 at home. Pittsburgh is currently last in the division, but they have played decently well over the last week. Pittsburgh is starting Jake Woodford, who has some very ugly numbers on the season. Cincinnati is going with Julian Aguiar, who pitched decently well in limited action against the lowly Blue Jays in his first start. I don’t love this pitching matchup, but I am going to fade Woodford here. My Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is for the Reds to get the win.