Atlanta Braves (66-58) vs Philadelphia Phillies (73-51)
Game Info: Wednesday, August 21, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)
Max Fried (7-7) (3.62) vs Aaron Nola (11-6) (3.51)
Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -120 / Philadelphia Phillies +102 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves square off Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will start Aaron Nola here and Nola is 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Nola is 1-1 with a 5.08 ERA and 31 strikeouts. Max Fried will get the start for the Braves here and is 7-7 with a 3.62 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Fried is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this one looking to bounce back after starting the series with a 3-1 loss at the hands of the Braves on Tuesday. The loss to start the set wasn’t ideal for a Phillies team looking to build on their series win over the Washington Nationals from this past weekend.
Phillies Trying To Close Out NL East
Going into Tuesday, Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 140 hits including 43 doubles, a .296 batting average and a team-high 85 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 26 home runs with 73 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 25 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has 28 home runs, 78 RBIs and a team-high 143 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 21 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Braves' last six games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have lost each of their last five games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves' last six games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will try to keep the pressure on after starting the set with their win over the Phils on Tuesday. The win put the Braves in line for a third straight series win after taking out the Angels and Giants over the last week and a half.
Braves Trying To Gain On Phillies Atop NL East
Entering Tuesday’s opener, Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 144 hits including 36 home runs and 93 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 19 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 28 doubles, logging 93 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 24 doubles, 21 home runs and 63 RBIs with a team-high 142 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 26 doubles with a pair of triples.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four road games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
Phillies vs. Braves Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. Aaron Nola isn’t my preferred option in this Phillies rotation, but he’s been more than serviceable for much of the year and I think he can get the job done. He’s been opposite Fried twice this year and it’s actually been Fried that’s struggled a lot more than Nola, and that’s when Fried was at full strength. Fried hasn’t looked right since returning from the IL and I don’t think this is the best matchup for him in all honesty. Give me the Phillies in this one.
Chris’s Pick Philadelphia +102
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Mitch's Take...
