Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 8/21/24

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 46-80 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Miami has dropped the first two games in the series, but they did score six runs in game one. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Mets, split two games with the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Miami is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 463 runs with a .238 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .248 with 24 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Jordan Montgomery, who is 8-6 with a 6.25 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this year. Montgomery has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Roddery Munoz, who is 2-7 with a 5.88 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 78.0 innings pitched this season. Munoz has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Marlins

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Marlins' last 13 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Diamondbacks' last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has hit a home run in five of the Marlins' last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 21 appearances in night games.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in four of the Marlins' last five games against the Diamondbacks.
• Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his 12 previous home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of the Marlins' last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Joc Pederson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last five road games against NL opponents.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Joc Pederson has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

Arizona comes into this matchup looking for their third win in a row over Miami and outside of their last series against Tampa Bay, they have played very well over the last few weeks. The Diamondbacks are 34-30 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 24-41 at home. Arizona is the highest scoring team in the MLB, while Miami is ranked 29th in runs scored. Neither of these starting pitchers inspire much confidence, but I think the only play here is to continue riding Arizona. My Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Diamondbacks to win by at least two runs.