Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 8/18/24

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 73-50 this season and they have won four games in a row. Philadelphia has won the first three games in this series by scores of 13-3, 3-2, and 5-1. Prior to this series, the Phillies split two games with the Marlins, lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. Philadelphia is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 602 runs with a .258 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .296 with 13 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 9-10 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 145.0 innings pitched this season. Irvin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 3-4 with a 5.68 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 57.0 innings pitched this year. Walker has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Phillies

• The Phillies have lost each of their last five day games following a win.
• The Nationals have won five of their last six Sunday day games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Nationals' last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 11 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Nationals.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies' last 11 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies' last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies' last four games against the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals' last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ildemaro Vargas has scored a run in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup looking to complete a rare four game sweep and they continue to hold a nice lead in the NL East standings. The Phillies are 42-22 at home this year, while the Nationals are just 27-37 on the road. Washington is trying to avoid their fifth loss in a row and they are going with Jake Irvin, who has been pretty solid this season. Philadelphia is starting Taijuan Walker, who has some ugly numbers in limited action this year. These two teams are trending in different directions, but the Phillies are 0-6 in Walker’s last six starts. My Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for the Nationals to win.