Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 8/16/24

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 65-55 this season and they have won eight games in a row. Houston is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won all three games by scores of 6-1, 3-2, and 2-1. Prior to that series, the Astros swept the Red Sox in three games, won two out of three against the Rangers, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Houston is 10-3 in their last 13 games and they are first in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 553 runs with a .260 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .304 with 25 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Astros this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Garrett Crochet, who is 6-9 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 120.2 innings pitched this year. Crochet has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts (8.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 5-10 with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 105.0 innings pitched this season. Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Astros will beat the White Sox

• The Astros have won each of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have lost 15 of their last 16 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday night games against the White Sox.
• The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Friday night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros' last six games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the White Sox's last five games as underdogs against the Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four night games between the White Sox and Astros.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in four of the Astros' last five games.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Astros as favorites against the White Sox.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last 10 Friday night games.
• Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Aledmys Diaz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Benintendi has hit a home run in three of the White Sox's last four road games against AL opponents.
• Luis Robert has recorded a Double in each of the White Sox's last three games at Minute Maid Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one RBI in each of the White Sox's last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Max Stassi has scored a run in five of his last six appearances against the Astros.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston comes into this game playing some of their best baseball of the season and they are starting to pull away from Seattle for first in the AL West. The Astros are 32-26 at home this year, while the White Sox are 11-49 on the road. Chicago has been absolutely awful over the last month and they are starting Crochet, who has been on a pitch count in recent starts and has not been very good. Houston is going with Arrighetti, who started the season very poorly, but he has been great over the last few weeks. My Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros prediction is for the Astros to win by at least two runs.