Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 8/14/24

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 67-52 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Minnesota has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-3 and 13-3. Prior to this series, the Twins split four games with the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and swept the White Sox in three games. Minnesota is 9-4 in their last 13 games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 587 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .243 with 15 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Cole Ragans, who is 9-7 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 140.1 innings pitched this year. Ragans has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 12-5 with a 3.52 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 128.0 innings pitched this season. Ober has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight games. 

Why the Twins will beat the Royals

• The Royals have lost 18 of their last 20 games at Target Field.
• The Twins have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Royals' last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins' last three games as favorites against the Royals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three games between the Royals and Twins at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins' last 11 home games against AL opponents.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one total base in each of the Twins' last 11 home games against AL opponents.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances at Target Field.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Royals.
• Willi Castro has scored a run in each of the Twins' last five games as home favorites against the Royals.
• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Twins' last 10 day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last seven Wednesday games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals' last seven Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Royals' last 10 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in three of the Royals' last four games as road underdogs.
• Garrett Hampson has recorded a Double in three of the Royals' last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last 11 games as underdogs against the Twins.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals' last 11 games as underdogs against the Twins.

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Minnesota rolls into this game looking for the series sweep and they have dominated the first two games in this series. The Twins have separated from the Royals in the AL Central, and they are just a few games behind Cleveland for first. The Royals are 27-30 on the road, while the Twins are 36-23 at home. Minnesota is going with Ober, who has been very good over the last two weeks. Kansas City is starting Ragans, who has solid numbers on the season, but has been up and down in his last four outings. The Twins are rolling right now and Kansas City’s pitching staff is trending in the wrong direction, so my Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for the Twins to win.