LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 7/31/24

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw here and Kershaw is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Kershaw is 1-3 with a 3.34 ERA and 32 strikeouts. Dylan Cease will start for the Padres here and Cease is 10-8 with a 3.50 ERA and 168 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cease is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be out to bounce back after taking one on the chin in Tuesday’s matchup, falling short by a final score of 6-5 in the series opener. The loss wasn’t ideal for the Dodgers in this rivalry series as they’re trying to bounce back from their series loss to the Houston Astros this past weekend.

Dodgers Trying To Keep Distance At Peak Of NL West

Going into Tuesday’s matchup, Shohei Ohtani has 128 hits including a team-high 32 home runs, 28 doubles and 76 RBIs with a .314 batting average while Mookie Betts has 86 hits with 16 doubles, 3 triples, 10 homers and 40 RBIs of his own, but continues to miss time because of an injury. Teoscar Hernandez also has 22 home runs with 69 RBIs and a team-high 124 strikeouts. Betts also has 9 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 27 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 67 RBIs with 26 doubles and Will Smith has added 19 doubles, 15 home runs and 56 RBIs.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last 11 night games after going to extra innings.
• The Padres have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against the Dodgers following a win.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will try to keep their momentum going after picking up another win thanks to their rally in game one on Tuesday. The win put the Padres in line to keep their series win streak alive since the all-star break, taking out the Guardians, Nationals and Orioles over the last two weeks.

Padres Trying To Close Gap On Dodgers

Entering Tuesday, Jurickson Profar has 113 hits along with a .301 batting average and 17 doubles with 18 homers and 67 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 60 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 14 home runs and 56 RBIs but also has 87 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 83 hits with 3 triples, 14 doubles, 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and a team-high 20 stolen bases.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Dodgers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs following an extra innings loss.
• The Padres have won nine of their last 10 night games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games.

LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m on the Padres here. I know the run with Dylan Cease won’t last forever, but the thing is that until Cease gets hit, I think he’s in a spot where you have to blindly back him until you have a reason not to. The Padres have also been solid against lefties in their last ten games, so I think they can get to Kershaw, who struggled in this ball park in his lone start against the Padres last year. The Padres also have the more efficient bullpen and the momentum after rallying for the win on Tuesday. Give me the Padres.