Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 7/29/24

Cardinals Hoping to Gain Momentum 

The St. Louis Cardinals are 54-51 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. St. Louis is coming off of a series loss against Washington, where they lost two out of three games, but did hit a walk-off homer on Sunday. Prior to that series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against the Pirates, won two out of three against the Braves, and split four games with the Cubs. St. Louis is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 433 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .204 with 19 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has allowed at least five runs in three of their last four games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 7-4 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this year. Eovaldi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 4-4 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 57.1 innings pitched this season. Pallante has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Cardinals will beat the Rangers

• The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Rangers and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
• The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Cardinals' last 11 games.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Cardinals' last 11 night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rangers' last five games as favorites against the Cardinals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last five home games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last four night games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Nolan Gorman has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Cardinals' last 11 games as underdogs.
• Nolan Gorman has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Masyn Winn has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals' last six night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals' last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cardinals' last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Rangers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jonah Heim has recorded a Single in each of the Rangers' last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last nine road games.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Josh Jung has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Rangers as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Josh Jung has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games.

Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

St. Louis comes into this series three games above .500, but they are coming off of two straight series losses. The Cardinals were able to get a walk-off home run on Sunday to avoid the sweep, but they need more consistent pitching. St. Louis is 27-24 at home, while the Rangers are 22-32 on the road. Texas really struggled in their series against the Blue Jays over the weekend, but they will turn to Eovaldi, who has been very good so far this year. St. Louis is starting Pallante, who has a slightly elevated WHIP, but has done a good job of limiting runs. Texas has the pitching advantage with Eovaldi, but they have been so bad on the road that I can’t trust them here. My Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for the Cardinals to win.