Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 7/29/24

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Boston Red Sox (55-48) vs Seattle Mariners (55-51)

July 29, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -118 / Seattle Mariners +100 — Over/Under: 8

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The Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox square off Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Logan Gilbert will start for the start here and Gilbert is 6-6 with a 2.72 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gilbert is 0-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 26 strikeouts against Boston. Nick Pivetta will start for Boston here and is 4-7 with a 4.50 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pivetta is 1-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 30 strikeouts against Seattle.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this one looking to build some momentum after sweeping the Chicago White Sox this past weekend thanks to a 6-3 win in Sunday’s series finale, bouncing back from series losses to the Angels and Astros over the week prior.

Mariners Trying To Keep Pace In AL West

Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 101 hits including a .263 batting average and also has 9 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 22 home runs along with 66 RBIs and 122 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 9 home runs and 35 RBIs while Rodriguez has 18 stolen bases and 112 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has 15 doubles with 19 stolen bases and Josh Rojas has a team-high 16 doubles also this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The road team has won each of the Mariners’ last six games.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mariners’ last six games.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox will be out to bounce back after their series loss to the New York Yankees thanks to an 8-2 loss to the Yankees in Sunday night’s rubber match. The loss made it three straight series losses out of the break after falling to the Rockies and Dodgers over the last week.

Red Sox Trying To Hold On In AL Playoff Race

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 127 hits along with 22 stolen bases, 31 doubles, 12 triples and 107 strikeouts and also has 52 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 22 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 55 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 103 hits with 22 doubles, 23 home runs, 64 RBIs and a .297 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 22 home runs and 43 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has a team-high 26 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games at Fenway Park following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Mariners.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Mariners here. I think we’re starting to see the moves for Seattle pay off, now will that be because they were against the White Sox this weekend? Time will tell, but the Red Sox pitching hasn’t really been up to the task as of late, and Pivetta hasn’t really pitched well at Fenway if we’re being honest. I think the Mariners get a much-needed series-opening win. Give me Seattle.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle +100

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