New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 7/28/24

Boston Red Sox (55-47) vs New York Yankees (60-45)

Game Info: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Tanner Houck (8-6) (2.71) vs Carlos Rodon (10-7) (4.26)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -115 / New York Yankees -102 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB game 4 action at Fenway Park. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 61-45 on the year and play the Phillies and Blue Jays next. The New York Yankees have scored 21 runs in their last 3 games and 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 116 hits and 95 RBI, while Juan Soto and Anthony Volpe have combined for 226 hits and 111 RBI.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 55-48 on the year and play the Mariners and Rangers next. The Boston Red Sox have scored 24 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 straight games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 127 hits and 52 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 192 hits and 119 RBI.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Pick Matchup

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 10-7 with a 4.42 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Rodon has allowed 14 hits and 10 runs in his last 20.1 innings. Rodon has a 5.00 ERA and .265 allowed batting average in 66.2 road innings. Rodon is 2-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 8-6 with a 2.71 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. Houck has allowed 14 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 15.1 innings. Houck has a 2.96 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 70 home innings. Houck is 3-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Boston Red Sox will Beat the Yankees

  • The Yankees have lost 11 of their last 12 games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games against the Yankees following a loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Yankees following a loss.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox's last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents at Fenway Park.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Sunday night appearances.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Yankees at Fenway Park.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.583) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees' last three games.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees' last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees' last five games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees' last six games against AL East opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.686) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (924).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (26).
  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (425).
  • The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (155).

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The New York Yankees got a nice win last night and just made the trade for Jazz Chisholm Jr., so maybe this is a turning point for them to get back on track. Still, the Red Sox are playing the better baseball overall, and we're getting them at home with a cheap price and an all star on the mound. Tanner Houck has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season and is top-10 in AL CY Young odds. Pick 'em price, I'm rolling with the Red Sox. 

Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox -115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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