Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 7/21/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago White Sox

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends in games played between the White Sox and Royals

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the White Sox vs Royals game

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

Last weekend the White Sox played the Pittsburgh Pirates. Chicago lost all three of those games for a sweep, falling 4-1, 6-2 and 9-4. The Sox continued the slide with a 7-1 loss to KC on Friday. In game two Chicago fell behind 4-0 early in a 6-1 loss.

In the starter role Sunday the White Sox will go with Drew Thorpe. In the first six starts of his career Thorpe is 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA. He’s got 19 Ks in 32.2 innings.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

Over on the Royals’ side, they took on the Boston Red Sox in their last series. Kansas City won 6-1 in the opener of that set then dropped the weekend games 5-0 and 5-4. On Saturday the Royals posted nine team hits in the victory.

It’ll be Seth Lugo in the starter slot for the Royals on Sunday. Over 20 starts this year Lugo is 11-4 with a 2.48 ERA overall. In his career Lugo is 51-35 with a 3.33 ERA in 321 games (84 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last eight games between the White Sox and Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the White Sox's last four games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last six road games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Royals' last four games against AL opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last six games against AL opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Royals' last five games at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Seth Lugo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals' last eight games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals' last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals' last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit a home run in five of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Tommy Pham has scored at least one run in four of the White Sox's last five games.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs against the Royals.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’ll stay with the Royals. That said I’m not touching it due to the thick line—Lugo needs a bounce-back start, too. In his last outing Lugo posted five earned in 5.0 innings during his second straight loss. Prior to that Lugo had just two earned in 12.0 innings, though. As for Thorpe, he’s been pretty good lately with five earned over his last 18.1 innings.

On Saturday the Royals got 7.0 clean frames from starter Brady Singer. The offense had a couple of big performances as well and the pitching really stood out. KC should continue to roll here, but I could see taking the Sox on a value play.