Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 7/13/24

The Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Washington Nationals recent form and player performance

The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Nationals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Nationals and Brewers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Nationals vs Brewers game

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

This week the Nationals took on the New York Mets. Things didn’t go very well for Washington in that matchup, as the Nats took losses 7-5, 6-2 and 7-0 for a sweep. On Friday versus the Brewers, the Nationals posted 12 team hits in a 5-2 win. Starter Jackson Rutledge finished with 4.2 innings and two earned runs.

In the starter role for Saturday the Nationals are going with Mitchell Parker. This year Parker is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA across the first 16 starts of his career. Parker has 74 Ks in 91.2 total frames.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they played the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series. Milwaukee won 9-0 in the middle game of that set but otherwise lost 12-2 and 1-0. On Friday the Brewers would end up with just four hits in the defeat. Freddy Peralta put up 5.0 innings with 10 hits and four earned in the start.

Dallas Keuchel will make the start for the Brewers on Saturday. So far in 2024 Keuchel has a 4.61 ERA without a decision over three starts. Keuchel is 103-92 with a 4.03 ERA in 281 career games (266 starts).

Nationals vs Brewers Pick Injury Notes

Brewers RP Devin Williams (back) will begin a rehab assignment with High-A Wisconsin on Saturday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Nationals and Brewers.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last three day games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Willy Adames has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five games.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in six of his last eight home appearances against the Nationals.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last five Saturday day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Dallas Keuchel has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 Saturday day appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances at American Family Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three road games against the Brewers.
• Luis Garcia has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals’ last six Saturday games.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Nationals’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last seven Saturday games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 15 games against opponents that held a winning record.

Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with the Brewers. Keuchel had a rough start versus the Rangers to finish off June, posting five earned in 4.0 innings. Since then Keuchel has two earned over 9.2 innings in a pair of starts (no decisions). As for Parker, he’s coming off one earned in 7.0 innings versus the Cardinals. Parker is just 0-2 in his last three outings, though.

On Friday the Brewers got very little action at the plate outside of Sal Frelick (three hits; RBI) and Willy Adames (RBI; run), who combined for all four of the team’s hits. The good news is that the bullpen wasn’t bad (4.0 innings; one earned). Milwaukee has scored two or fewer runs in three of the last four games; they’ve got to get the bats going Saturday.