Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 7/12/24

Pick details

Cincinnati Reds (44-48) vs Miami Marlins (32-59)

Game Info: Friday, July 12, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -155 / Miami Marlins +142 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)


The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Friday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance

The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and Reds

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs Reds game

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

This week the Marlins took on the Houston Astros. Miami lost the first two games 4-3 and 9-1. In the finale Thursday the Marlins took a 6-3 defeat. Roddery Munoz lasted 6.2 innings in the start with four earned runs.

For the starter gig Friday the Marlins are going with Yonny Chirinos. This year Chirinos has a 4.19 ERA in four starts without a decision. Chirinos is 20-15 with a 4.04 ERA in 73 career games (42 starts).

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Colorado Rockies in their last set. Cincinnati won 6-0 and 12-6 in the first pair before a 6-5 loss Wednesday. In the finale the Reds cruised to a blowout win 8-1. Hunter Greene managed 6.0 innings with one earned run.

It’ll be Carson Spiers in the starter slot for the Reds Friday. This year Spiers is 2-2 with a 3.64 ERA in nine games (four starts). In his career Spiers is 2-3 with a 4.42 ERA in 13 games (six starts).

Marlins vs Reds Pick Injury Notes

Reds SP Brandon Williamson (shoulder) is scheduled for a bullpen session on July 23. RP Ian Gibaut (forearm) will throw a bullpen session on Tuesday. CF TJ Friedl (hamstring) is aiming for a return from the IL one week to 10 days after the All-Star break.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Double in each of his five previous appearances against the Marlins.
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last three games as home favorites.
  • Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Single in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored a run in each of his five previous appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yonny Chirinos has recorded five strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded an RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL opponents.

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with the Reds. Spiers had a rough outing in his last start versus the Tigers, posting a loss with four earned on eight hits and two walks in 4.2 innings. Prior to that however, Spiers was 2-0 with four earned in 12.0 innings over two starts.

On Thursday the Reds didn’t have a ton of issues, especially with Tyler Stephenson’s two homers and five RBI. Cincinnati should match up pretty well with the Marlins also, so if all goes well the Reds should emerge with another W on Friday.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Cincinnati Reds -155

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