St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 7/7/24

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Washington Nationals (41-47) vs St. Louis Cardinals (46-41)

July 7, 2024 at 01:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +105 / St. Louis Cardinals -125 — Over/Under: 9.5

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In this article, we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 7th at Nationals Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Cardinals form and recent player performance 

-The Nationals recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington

-Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and Washington

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Cardinals and Nationals. 

Cardinals Pitching Has to be Better

The Cardinals pitching scored six runs on Saturday, but it wasn’t enough as the pitching was so bad. Lance Lynn went 2.2 innings, giving up nine hits and ten runs. The Cardinals are averaging 4.01 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.43 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 19th. Nolan Gorman has hit 17 home runs and driven in 43 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Cardinals will be Kyle Gibson, who sits with ha 6-3 record and an ERA of 3.88. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went five innings giving up five hits and four runs. 

Nationals Offense Stepped Up

The Nationals’ offense sure looked good on Saturday, and they scored 14 runs on the way to the victory. James Wood hit a home run and drove in five RBis. The Nationals are averaging 4.14 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.37 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 15th. They gave a run differential of -0.23 which is 18th in the league. CJ Abrans has hit 13 home runs and driven in 45 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Nationals will be DJ Herz who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 4.67. In his last start against the New York Mets, he went 5.2 innings, giving up five hits and one run. The Nationals will face the Mets and Brewers following this series.

Why the Nationals Will Beat the Cardinals 

  • The Nationals have won seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Cardinals have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Gibson has been solid this season, but I actually like the Nationals to come out on top here. Hertz looked good in his last start against the Mets, giving up only one run in 5.2 innings, and he’s going to continue that success again here. St. Louis is going to really struggle to get any sort of offense and that is going to be the difference here as the Nationals are going to get the job done. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Nationals ML

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