St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 7/6/24

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Washington Nationals (41-46) vs St. Louis Cardinals (45-41)

July 6, 2024 at 04:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals -137 / St. Louis Cardinals +116 — Over/Under: 9.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The St. Louis Cardinals will send out Lance Lynn for the start here and Lynn is 4-3 with a 3.59 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Washington, Lynn is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 33 strikeouts. MacKenzie Gore will start for Washington here and is 6-7 with a 3.47 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. This will be Gore’s second career start against the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to build on their 7-6 win over the Nationals in Friday’s series opener. The win put the Cardinals in a good spot to build on their series win over the Pittsburgh Pirates to start the week.

Cardinals Trying To Claw Back In NL Central Race

Nolan Arenado has 82 hits along with 14 doubles and 34 RBIs while Brendan Donovan has a team-high 84 hits and 42 RBIs with 19 doubles. Nolan Gorman has a team-high 17 home runs along with 43 RBIs in addition to 8 doubles while Masyn Winn has a .291 batting average and 9 stolen bases. Paul Goldschmidt also has 106 K’s while Gorman has a team-high 114 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Nationals have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cardinals have won six of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Cardinals’ last nine games.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this one looking to bounce back from their loss in Friday’s matchup. The loss put the Nationals behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to snap their series winless run after splitting with the Mets and taking series losses to the Rays and Padres over the last week and a half.

Nationals Trying To Get Back To .500

CJ Abrams leads the Nationals with 89 hits along with 13 home runs and 45 RBIs to go along with 21 doubles, 5 triples and 14 stolen bases. Luis Garcia Jr. has 14 doubles with 42 RBIs and 12 stolen bases. Jacob Young has 19 stolen bases while Lane Thomas has 20 stolen bases and Jesse Winker has 12 stolen bases this season. Joey Meneses also has 43 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Cardinals have lost seven of their last eight road games following an extra innings win.
  • The Nationals have won eight of their last 10 day games against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games following a home loss.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction

I’m on the over here. I like what I’ve seen from the Nationals offensively as of late and I think they can get to Lance Lynn for a few runs here as Lynn is once again more of a liability than he is an asset as a major league starter. On the other side, St. Louis has been hitting fairly well themselves in a lot of spots and I think they can do damage against Gore, a pitcher I’m not all that impressed with, and if not Gore, then against the Nationals bullpen which has the worst ERA in baseball in relief in the last two weeks as a unit. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 9.5

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