Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 7/3/24

Pick details

New York Yankees (54-32) vs Cincinnati Reds (39-45)

July 3, 2024 at 07:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -164 / Cincinnati Reds +139 — Over/Under: 8

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The Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB game 2 action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-45 on the year after games against the Pirates and Cardinals. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 8 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 81 hits and 39 RBI, while Jonathan India and Spencer Steer have combined for 147 hits and 85 RBI.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 54-33 on the year after games against the Mets and Blue Jays. The New York Yankees have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The New York Yankees have split their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 98 hits and 83 RBI, while Anthony Volpe and Juan Soto have combined for 182 hits and 89 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Pitching Pick Matchup

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. Abbott has allowed 22 hits and 11 runs in his last 26.2 innings. Abbott has a 3.48 ERA and .208 allowed batting average in 51.2 road innings. This will be Abbott’s first career game against the New York Yankees.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 9-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Rodon has allowed 36 hits and 23 earned runs in his last 26.2 innings. Rodon has a 3.86 ERA and .235 allowed batting average in 35 home innings. Rodon is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will Beat the Yankees

  • The Yankees have lost six of their last seven games as favorites.
  • The Reds have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as underdogs.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Reds.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as home favorites.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Reds.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against the Reds.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last six games at Yankee Stadium against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Reds as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in five of the Reds’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Reds as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Jonathan India has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against the Yankees.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction

The New York Yankees are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re the better team and at home. However, the Yankees have been sluggish over the last couple of weeks and have let bettors down with these recent losses in the favorite role. Andrew Abbott has also been solid this season, while Carlos Rodon is coming off a horrible month of June. The value is with the Reds and the plus money in game 2. I’ll take a shot with the road dog. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati Reds +139

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