Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

Atlanta Braves (44-34) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (39-41)

Game Info: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (4-4) (4.20) vs Martin Perez (1-3) (4.71)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -167 / Pittsburgh Pirates +141 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Friday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will trot out Charlie Morton here and Morton’s 4-4 with a 4.20 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. This will be Morton’s second career start against the Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates will send Martin Perez for the start in this one and Perez is 1-3 with a 4.71 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 0-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this set looking to rebound from a 1-0 loss to the Chicago White Sox in a makeup game on Thursday, which didn’t help the fact that the Braves were coming off of a series loss to the Cardinals to start the week.

Braves Trying To Find Their Footing

Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 89 hits including 21 home runs and 64 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 22 doubles, logging 72 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 19 doubles with a team-high 88 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 14 doubles with a pair of triples.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Pirates have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have won nine of their last 10 home games against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Truist Park.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Reds thanks to a 6-1 victory over Cincinnati in Wednesday’s series finale. The series win helped the Pirates bounce back from a series loss to the Tampa Bay Rays last weekend.

Pirates Trying To Find Consistency At Halfway Point Themselves

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 90 hits with 19 doubles along with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs while Andrew McCutchen has 11 home runs and Jack Suwinski has 5 stolen bases. Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with 6 stolen bases and 94 strikeouts while also posting 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 RBIs and Connor Joe has a .245 batting average and 15 doubles as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Braves have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Braves' last five games.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the over here. This is not a good spot for Martin Perez to return from the IL against an Atlanta Braves team that’s been hitting left-handed pitching really well as of late. On the other side, the Pirates have some pop in those bats, and Charlie Morton still has an ERA over four at home this season. All in all, I think this one comes in over the number so give me the over here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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