Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

Seattle Mariners (46-37) vs Minnesota Twins (44-36)

Game Info: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 9:40 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Logan Gilbert (5-4) (2.71) vs Bailey Ober (7-4) (4.50)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -118 / Minnesota Twins +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 45-36 on the year after beating the Athletics and Diamondbacks. The Minnesota Twins have scored 25 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 5 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 78 hits and 27 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Carlos Santana have combined for 138 hits and 77 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 46-37 on the year after games against the Marlins and Rays. The Seattle Mariners have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Seattle Mariners have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 81 hits and 29 RBI, while Ty France and Josh Rojas have combined for 112 hits and 44 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 7-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. Ober has allowed 20 hits and 10 runs in his last 25 innings. Ober has a 5.07 ERA and .237 allowed batting average in 49.2 road innings. Ober is 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 5-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has allowed 17 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 29.2 innings. Gilbert has a 2.66 ERA and .185 allowed batting average in 47.1 home innings. Gilbert is 2-1 with a 4.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Seattle Mariners will Beat the Twins

  • The Twins have lost each of their last 10 road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have won each of their last eight Friday night home games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six games at T-Mobile Park following a road win.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday night games.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Friday night home games.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Garver has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has hit a home run in three of the Mariners' last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against the Twins.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Single in eight of his nine previous appearances at T-Mobile Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 Friday night appearances.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last 10 games at T-Mobile Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last 10 games at T-Mobile Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one Double in each of the Twins' last three night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of the Twins' last four games.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Twins' last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his 20 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mariners.
  • Manuel Margot has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against the Mariners.
  • Manuel Margot has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank T29th in the league for hits this season (591).
  • The Seattle Mariners rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.219).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (722).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (208).

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Seattle Mariners should have the edge at home with Logan Gilbert on the mound. Gilbert has looked like an all star this season, and he's even better at home, where he has a 2.66 ERA and .185 allowed batting average. Bailey Ober has been hit or miss on the season, but he's been a complete disaster on the road. It's hard to argue the Mariners and the cheap price, as it's easily one of the best value plays on Friday's MLB card.

Randy’s Pick Seattle Mariners -118

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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