New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 6/23/24

Pick details

Chicago Cubs (36-40) vs New York Mets (36-38)

June 23, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -106 / New York Mets -111 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The New York Mets and the Chicago Cubs meet Sunday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will start Luis Severino here and Severino is 4-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his career, Severino is 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 24 strikeouts against the Cubs. Javier Assad will get the start here and Assad is 4-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his career, Assad is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets will be out to bounce back and win the series after a loss to the Cubs on Saturday by a final score of 8-1. The Mets need the win here to keep their series win streak alive which includes series wins over the Rangers, Padres and Marlins over the last week and a half.

Mets Still Rolling Offensively

Starling Marte has 68 hits and a .278 batting average while Pete Alonso has a team-high 16 home runs and 42 RBIs with 19 doubles as well. Francisco Lindor has 20 doubles of his own with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs along with 12 stolen bases while Marte also has a team-high 12 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 42 RBIs and 78 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Cubs have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 16 games following a win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to win the rubber match after evening the series up at one win apiece thanks to their victory on Saturday. A win here would give the Cubs back-to-back series wins after starting the week with a series win over the San Francisco Giants.

Cubs Beginning To Put It Together Offensively

Cody Bellinger leads the Cubs with 67 hits including 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 33 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has 59 hits, 14 doubles and a .236 batting average while Christopher Morel has a team-high 14 home runs and 43 RBIs. Michael Busch has 9 homers with 26 RBIs but has 80 strikeouts as well this season. Ian Happ also has a team-high 16 doubles with 9 home runs and 39 RBIs but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Cubs with 82 strikeouts this season.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Mets have lost eight of their last nine night games at Wrigley Field following a loss.
  • The Cubs have won seven of their last eight night games against the Mets at Wrigley Field following a home win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last eight home games against the Mets.

Mets vs. Cubs Prediction

I’m on the Mets here. The Cubs showed up in a big way on Saturday, but I think the Mets bounce back on Sunday. The Mets have simply been in great form in the last couple of weeks, and the Cubs, while looking solid in Saturday’s win, haven’t brought much else to the table in the last little bit and I think the Mets get the series win on Sunday. Give me New York.

 

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York Mets -111

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