Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 6/22/24

Pittsburgh Pirates (36-38) vs Tampa Bay Rays (36-39)

Game Info: Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 4:05 pm (PNC Park)

Jared Jones (4-6) (3.76) vs Zach Eflin (3-4) (4.12)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -109 / Tampa Bay Rays -101 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Zach Eflin for the start and Eflin is 3-4 with a 4.12 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eflin is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 19 strikeouts against the Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates will start Jared Jones here and Jones is 4-6 with a 3.76 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. This will be Jones’ first career start against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this one looking to build on their 10-3 win over the Pirates in Friday’s series opener. The win kept the momentum going for the Rays, who are trying to build off of a series win over the Minnesota Twins to start the week.

Rays Starting To Pick It Up At The Plate

Isaac Paredes leads the Rays across the board with 75 hits, 11 home runs, 39 RBIs and a .285 batting average as well as a .367 OBP with 15 doubles. Yandy Diaz has 80 hits with 14 doubles while Jose Caballero has a team-high 24 stolen bases. Randy Arozarena has 10 home runs and 26 RBIs along with 76 strikeouts and 10 stolen bases.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have won each of their last seven games against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last five games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to rebound after starting the series with their loss in blowout fashion against the Rays on Friday. The loss wasn’t ideal for a Pirates team looking to build on back-to-back series wins over the Reds and Rockies over the last week.

Pirates Struggling Offensively In Recent Games

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 82 hits with 19 doubles along with 11 home runs and 41 RBIs while Andrew McCutchen has 10 home runs and Jack Suwinski has a team-high 5 stolen bases. Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with 89 strikeouts while also posting 15 doubles, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs and Connor Joe has a .242 batting average and 14 doubles as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Rays and Pirates.
  • The Rays have lost each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’m on the under here. I still don’t really trust the Rays against a righty like Jared Jones as Jones has been better at home and the Rays have still been one of the weakest offenses against right-handed pitching in the month of June. On the other side, the Pirates have started to sputter offensively again, and while Eflin’s been better at home going back to last season, he has strong career numbers against Pittsburgh and I think this one ends up being low-scoring. Give me the under.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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