Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 6/21/24

San Diego Padres (38-40) vs Milwaukee Brewers (44-30)

Game Info: Friday, June 21, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Dylan Cease (6-6) (3.95) vs Colin Rea (6-2) (3.29)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -150 / Milwaukee Brewers +138 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Bally Sports Wisconsin, San Diego Padres Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Colin Rea for the start here and Rea is 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. This will be Rea’s second career start against the Padres. Dylan Cease will start for San Diego here and is 6-6 with a 3.95 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cease is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to bounce back after starting the series with a 7-6 loss at the hands of the Padres in Thursday’s series opener. The loss got the Brewers off on the wrong foot after series wins over the Angels, Reds and Blue Jays over the last week and a half, but it’s worth noting that against the Angels and Reds, the Brewers lost game one of the series as well.

Brewers Still Producing At The Plate

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 89 hits including 17 doubles and 48 RBIs along with 9 home runs and a .362 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 10 home runs with 30 RBIs and Willy Adames has a team-high 17 doubles with 13 home runs and 54 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 26 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 69 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last nine Friday games as underdogs.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Brewers following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Brewers following a home win.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three Friday night games as underdogs.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to build on their series-opening victory over the Brewers on Thursday to get this series started on a high note after series losses to the Phillies and Mets over the last week.

Padres Starting To Heat Up

Jurickson Profar has 85 hits along with a .321 batting average and 12 doubles with 10 homers and 48 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 47 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 14 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 7 home runs and 36 RBIs but also has 65 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 55 hits with 3 triples, 9 doubles, 9 home runs, 35 RBIs and a team-high 15 stolen bases. Tatis Jr. also has a team-high 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The home team has won nine of the Padres' last 10 games.
  • The Brewers have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home night games.

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Brewers here. I haven’t loved what I’ve seen from Dylan Cease in a lot of his recent outings, and I think we’re getting a great price on the Brewers simply because of how inconsistent this team has been in the last week or so. The Padres’ offense has been even more inconsistent if we’re being honest, and I just think all of the value is on the Brewers who have been far more trustworthy this season. Give me Milwaukee.

Chris’s Pick Milwaukee +138

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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