San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 6/19/24

Philadelphia Phillies (48-24) vs San Diego Padres (37-39)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 19, 2024 at 1:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (10-1) (1.77) vs Matt Waldron (4-6) (3.66)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -160 / San Diego Padres +147 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Matt Waldron for the start here and Waldron is 4-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Waldron’s first career start against the Phillies. Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies here and is 10-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will look to bounce back after back-to-back losses in the series after a 4-3 loss in Tuesday’s matchup. The loss put the Padres at risk of back-to-back series sweeps after being swept by the Mets this past weekend.

Padres Back To Stumbling Offensively

Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 82 hits along with a .320 batting average and 12 doubles with 10 homers and 47 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 46 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 13 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 6 home runs and 33 RBIs but also has 65 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 55 hits with 3 triples, 9 doubles, 9 home runs, 35 RBIs and a team-high 14 stolen bases. Tatis Jr. also has a team-high 70 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have lost each of their last three day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have covered the run line each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Padres at Citizens Bank Park following a win.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this one looking to complete the sweep of the Padres after picking up the win in Tuesday’s matchup. The series win snapped Philadelphia’s series losing streak after losses to the Orioles and Red Sox over the last week.

Phillies Starting To Find Their Footing

Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 84 hits including 26 doubles, a .305 batting average and a team-high 60 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 15 home runs with 46 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 18 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 17 home runs, 48 RBIs and a team-high 91 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 14 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last 12 home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last nine road games.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Padres.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the under here. Suarez has been one of the best pitchers in the National League this season and the Padres continue to have issues offensively overall, especially against left-handed pitching this season. On the other side, the Phillies have cooled off against righties in recent weeks and aren’t necessarily the same team offensively that they were in the midst of their scorching hot run earlier this season. All in all, I think we have a low-scoring game on the horizon, so give me the under here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

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