San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 6/18/24

Philadelphia Phillies (48-24) vs San Diego Padres (37-39)

Game Info: Tuesday, June 18, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (8-3) (3.58) vs Michael King (5-4) (3.58)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -165 / San Diego Padres +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 18th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Padres recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Phillies recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and Philadelphia 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and Philadelphia 

Padres are on a Small Losing Streak 

The San Diego Padres are 37-39 this year and they have lost four games in a row. San Diego dropped game one in this series on Monday and they allowed nine runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Padres were swept by the Mets, won all three against the Athletics, and split four games with the Diamondbacks. San Diego is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 335 runs with a .259 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .273 with 13 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has allowed 25 runs in their last three games. 

Phillies Bounced Back With a Win 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-24 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Philadelphia won game one in this series by a score of 9-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Orioles, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and split two games with the Mets. Philadelphia is just 3-5 in their last eight games, but they continue to lead Atlanta in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 364 runs with a .256 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .253 with 16 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has allowed at least six runs in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 5-4 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 83.0 innings pitched this year. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four consecutive starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 8-3 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this season. Nola has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow eight earned runs against Boston in his last start. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won each of their last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park against NL West opponents that held a losing record.The Padres have lost each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Padres.The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Phillies' last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.Six of the Padres' last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last four games as road underdogs.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three night games at Citizens Bank Park.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia came into this series after losing two out of three against Baltimore and Boston, but they were able to get the blowout win on Monday night. The Phillies are amazing at home this year, as they are 28-10. San Diego is above .500 on the road, but they have played very poorly in their last four games. The Padres will look to Michael King to turn things around, and he has been great in his last four outings. The Phillies are starting Nola, who got shelled in his last start, but has been very good this season. I can’t back the Padres with how they have played in their last few games, so my San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for the Phillies to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Phillies -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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