New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/14/24

Boston Red Sox (35-34) vs New York Yankees (49-22)

Game Info: Friday, June 14, 2024 at 6:30 pm (Fenway Park)

Brayan Bello (6-3) (4.78) vs Luis Gil (8-1) (2.04)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +140 / New York Yankees -165 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 14th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Yankees recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Boston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Boston

Yankees Continue to Lead the AL East

The New York Yankees are 49-22 this season and they have won four of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series win against Kansas City, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Dodgers, swept the Twins, and swept the Giants. New York is 12-3 in their last 15 games and they have a 2.5 game lead in the AL East over Baltimore. 

The New York pitching staff has a 2.90 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .211 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 359 runs with a .254 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .320 with 17 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has scored 34 runs in their last five games and they are the highest scoring team in baseball. 

Red Sox Coming Off of Huge Series Win 

The Boston Red Sox are 35-34 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Boston is coming off of a series win against the Phillies, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox split four games with the White Sox, split two games with the Braves, and split four games with the Tigers. Boston is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 314 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .272 with five home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least six runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 8-1 with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this year. Gil has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 6-3 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 58.1 innings pitched this season. Bello has allowed three earned runs or more in five straight starts and has allowed nine earned runs in his last two outings. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.The Red Sox have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home win.The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against AL East opponents.The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday night home games.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Yankees' last seven night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Six of the Red Sox's last seven games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last four night games at Fenway Park.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last three games as underdogs.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

New York comes into this series as one of the best teams in the MLB and they are 27-12 on the road this year. Boston is 16-19 at home and their pitching staff has really struggled after a strong start to the year. The Yankees do have the advantage with their starting pitching, as Luis Gil has been one of the top starting pitchers in the MLB. On the other hand, Bello has been pretty bad recently and I can’t trust him against this lineup. My New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Yankees to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Yankees -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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