Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/12/24

Pick details

Boston Red Sox (33-33) vs Philadelphia Phillies (45-20)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 12, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +110 / Philadelphia Phillies -120 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 12th at Fenway Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Phillies form and recent player performance 

-The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston 

-Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Boston.

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Phillies and Red Sox. 

Phillies Looked Good on Tuesday

The Phillies sure looked good on Tuesday and they were able to secure the 4-1 victory. Kyle Schwarber hit two home runs and drove in two RBIs. The Phillies are averaging 5.11 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.45 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league while the pitching is ranked 2nd in the league. They have a run differential of 1.62 which is 2nd in the league. Bryce Harper has hit 15 home runs and driven in 45 RBI so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Cristopher Sanchez who sits with a 3-3 record and an ERA of 2.71. 

Why Phillies Will Win?

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have won eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

How Can Red Sox Bounce Back?

The Red Sox look to bounce back after the offense really struggled on Tuesday. They scored only one run and they ended up losing by three. Kutter Crawford went six innings giving up two hits and one run. The Red Sox are averaging 4.49 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.03 runs per game. The offense is ranked 100th in the league while the pitching is ranked 10th. They have a run differential of 0.45 which is 9th in the league. Rafael Devers has hit 13 home runs and driven in 32 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Nick Pivetta who sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 3.40. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went seven innings giving up one hit and zero runs. 

Why Red Sox Will Win?

  • The Red Sox have won six of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in three of their last four games against NL East opponents following a home loss.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Pivetta has been good this season and he’s going to lockdown again here. In his last start he gave up zero runs and he’s going to have a huge game here. Sanchez sits with an ERA of 2.71 and he’s going to step up in a big way here. The Red Sox and Phillies are both going to really struggle to get the offense going, and that is going to be the difference here. The Phillies and Red Sox are both going to struggle to score 2 or 3 runs and that will be the difference here. Back the under to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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