Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 6/12/24

Tampa Bay Rays (32-35) vs Chicago Cubs (32-35)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 12, 2024 at 6:50 pm (Tropicana Field)

Aaron Civale (2-5) (5.51) vs Javier Assad (4-2) (2.74)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -115 / Chicago Cubs -105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 12th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Cubs recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Rays recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Tampa Bay
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Tampa Bay

Cubs are Dropping in the NL Central 

The Chicago Cubs are 32-35 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Chicago dropped game one in this series on Tuesday, as they blew a lead in the ninth inning. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost three out of four against the Reds, won both games against the White Sox, and lost two out of three against the Reds. Chicago is just 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are tied for last in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 286 runs with a .229 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Cody Bellinger is batting .264 with eight home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has allowed at least five runs in nine of their last twelve games. 

Rays Had a Nice Bounce Back 

The Tampa Bay Rays are 32-35 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Tampa Bay won game one in the series by a score of 5-2 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Rays lost all four games against the Orioles, won both games against the Marlins, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Tampa Bay is 7-13 in their last 20 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 260 runs with a .232 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .258 with four home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay has allowed at least five runs in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 4-2 with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. Assad has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow nine earned runs in the other two outings in that span. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Aaron Civale, who is 2-5 with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 67.0 innings pitched this year. Civale has allowed four earned runs in two of his last four starts. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Cubs have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.The Rays have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a loss.The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.The Cubs have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Cubs' last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the last four games between the Cubs and Rays have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last five home games against NL Central opponents.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last six Wednesday games against AL East opponents.

Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

Tampa Bay wasn’t able to generate many scoring chances on Tuesday night, but they mounted a comeback in the ninth inning and ended up getting the walk-off win. The Rays are just 18-22 at home, while Chicago is 14-22 on the road. Neither team has played very well over the last few weeks, but I think the Cubs have the pitching advantage. Chicago is starting Javier Assad, who doesn’t go very deep into games, but he has been very reliable this season. Tampa Bay is going with Civale, who I don’t trust at all. My Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction is for the Cubs to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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